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Asia Business Briefing
January 2007
February 2007
March 2007
April 2007


Asia Business Briefing, January 2007  

Editorial - China's mining and commodity trade with Africa

In June last year, China ousted the world’s top iron ore producer, Brazil’s Vale do Rio Doce (CVRD) and France’s Eramet, to secure the rights to extract huge untapped iron ore reserves in Belinga, Gabon. Dedicating US$3 billion to the project, which includes the building of advanced infrastructure to reach the remote and mountainous mining area, Beijing was focused in its bid to oust other foreign companies and usher in a new era for mining in the West African country.

China has adopted a similarly ambitious and risk-averse attitude to mining and commodity investments throughout Africa and is starting to reap the benefits. The reason for China’s commodity push is obvious. The Chinese economy has shown a huge demand for base metals, the majority of which are used in the production of steel. China ranks as the world’s largest importer of iron ore, manganese, lead and chromium. However, the Chinese Ministry of Land and Resources (MLR) has projected that by 2010 domestic iron production will be able to meet 38 per cent of demand by 2010 and only 29 per cent by 2020. Furthermore, it is estimated that by 2010 and 2020 the shortage of coal will reach 250 million and 700 million tons respectively.

China is therefore looking to Africa to address these short and long-term needs and is on the acquisition trail on the continent. In addition to the extensive deals signed at the China – Africa Summit last November, which included a US$938 million deal to develop an aluminium plant in Egypt and US$230 million for ferrochrome mining and smelting in South Africa, China has been active in securing an array of African commodity deals.

Some of China’s larger commodity investments include a US$500 million deal to extract copper from the Chambishi mine in Zambia, US$600 million to mine for gold in Ghana and US$55 million to build a cement factory in Cape Verde. In addition to this, Chinese officials have pledged US$1.3 billion to boost Zimbabwe’s coal and thermal power capacities and end the crippling power shortages which have epitomised the country’s economic collapse.

In South Africa, China Inc. has found it more difficult to gain market traction in the commodity sector. However, in addition to the cited ferrochrome investment, Beijing has invested in platinum and copper mining ventures in South Africa, with state-owned Zijin Mining recently buying a sizeable stake in London-listed Ridge Mining. Chairman of CITIC - Larry Yung – successfully purchased of a 1.1 per cent stake for US$800 million in Anglo American in November last year personifies of China’s commodity push.

2006 was China’s “Year of Africa”. Li Zhaoxing’s recent foray to Africa continues this trend. 2007 will continue to see very senior level political visits with business delegations in tow from China to Africa. Beijing will continue to acquire key commodities and raw materials in Africa in 2007. Potential economies to watch are Zambia, the DRC, Gabon, Zimbabwe and South Africa, with Equatorial Guinea, Chad and Niger increasing in importance as deals are signed. Sectors most important are copper, iron ore, coal, uranium, ferrochrome and diamonds becoming more prominent as Chinese consumers’ spending power continues to rise.

Regional Business Briefs

ADB urges Asian trade bloc & financial cooperation
The head of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has urged East Asian countries to create a regional free trade bloc and to increase financial cooperation to reduce the risk of crises. "To maximise the potential benefits of free trade agreements, East Asia has
to chart a clear roadmap to establish a region-wide FTA," Harihuko Kuroda said at the East Asia summit. ASEAN speeded up its own goal for a single market to 2015 at the summit, but in a region with wide disparities in economic development, and where business often takes a backseat to nationalism, a full free trade area is unlikely. Kuroda noted some of the contradictions in East Asia, which needs a total of US$ 3 trillion to deliver power and water to its people and bridge infrastructure gaps over the next 10 years but whose foreign exchange reserves are now approaching that level.

Intel plans new China plant
Intel Corp., the world's top chipmaker, plans to invest in a major new plant in China to make leading-edge chips, its biggest investment in the country to date. The plant will make 65-nanometre multi-core processors and will be Intel's first such manufacturing facility in Asia. Intel has already invested approx. US$ 1 billion in China to date. Intel, which entered the China market in 1985, has over 6,000 employees working on assembly, testing, research and development and sales and marketing in 16 cities there, according to the company's Web site. Until now, most foreign chipmakers have used China for lower-technology test and assembly work, with few doing more sophisticated production in the market. Intel has announced that it plans to make China an independent sales and marketing region in 2007, underlining the country's growing importance as the company's second-largest consumer market after the United States.

Chrysler to co-operate with China’s Chery
Chrysler Group President Tom LaSorda confirmed that his company had reached an agreement in principle with China's Chery Co to distribute Chery- made small vehicles in the global markets. "Being able to partner with Chery represents a long-term solution to the challenges of how to profitably compete in the small vehicle segment," said LaSorda. "This supply partnership is part of a new business model that is allowing us to introduce all-new products more quickly, with less capital spending. This announcement reflects the realities of a global industry and DaimlerChrysler's need to remain competitive in all segments," he added. Chery has already adopted some of the most state-of-the art manufacturing processes and the level of technology adopted in their plant rivals that of many western automakers.

Citi Property to invest in Indian property market
New York based Citigroup Property Investors (CPI) is planning to invest US$ 500 million to build assets in Indian property market. According to David Schaefer, managing director and Head - Asia pacific, the company is looking at investing in the hospitality and residential sectors in addition to creating office space in tech-parks. "The funds being brought to India are being utilised for creating a quality land bank in major cities and also to invest in specific projects undertaken by builders," he added. The company, since May 2005, has invested US$ 250 million in building real estate assets in residential and hospitality sectors in Chennai, Bangalore, Pune, Delhi and Hyderabad.

Indonesia inks oil contracts to boost reserves
Indonesia signed new production sharing contracts with three global energy firms -- ConocoPhillips, CNOOC Ltd. and Premier Oil in order to boost reserves, the oil minister has announced. Asia-Pacific's only OPEC member has been offering new exploration rights to try to stem a steady decline in oil production that has threatened its status as an exporter. Indonesia has struggled to maintain output as the country has failed to tap new oilfields fast enough. ConocoPhillips is in a joint venture with Statoil ASA of Norway to explore 5,086 square kilometres (1,964 square miles) of the Kuma block off west Sulawesi. The oil contractor will get 35 percent if oil is found in the Kuma block and 40 percent of gas, while the rest will go to the government. Indonesia also signed an oil contract with CNOOC for the onshore Batanghari block in central Sumatra. The oil contractor will get 20 percent of production if oil is found and 40 percent of gas in Batanghari. Indonesia says it has about 8.6 billion barrels of proven and potential oil reserves and 182 trillion cubic feet of gas.

Malaysia's GDP growth to slow in 2007
Malaysia's economic growth will likely ease to 5.2 percent this year from an estimated 5.9 percent in 2006 as a subdued global outlook dampens exports. The estimates by the privately-funded Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER) are below the government's growth targets of 6.0 percent in 2007 and 5.8 percent in 2006. "With growth in the developed countries moderating and given the increasing uncertainty in the global outlook for 2007, Malaysia's exports could be affected and domestic demand will, in turn, also be affected," the institute said in a report. Government spending in 2007 could partly cushion the economy from the global slowdown, it said. Economists expect Malaysia's trade-driven economy to moderate slightly this year as softer U.S. demand hits exports of electronics and crude palm oil. However, steady demand from China and Japan could take up some of the slack and offer room for some growth.
 


Asia Business Briefing, February 2007

Editorial - China's confidence in Africa


In January, Chinese President Hu Jintao paid yet another visit to Africa. He has visited 17 African states over the last ten months - more than any other head of state. China has rapidly become the most assertive investor nation in Africa.

There are now over 800 Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) active in African regions. They have a presence in practically all African economies but China's largest investments to date are in the energy-endowed economies of Nigeria. Sudan and Angola - the latter is China's largest suppler of oil. According to the Chinese government, its enterprises have already invested US$ 6.27 billion in Africa.

Chinese SOE construction and telecom firms are also expanding their footprint across the region and are gaining market traction in all economies they enter. Following them are pharmaceutical, automotive and engineering equipment firms. China's Government announced in November that it has established a US$ 5 billion African investment fund. This fund will further fuel the expansion of these sectors.

Emboldened by the attention and financial gains from China, Africa states may be less inclined to pursue political reform. The "Chavez effect" is taking hold in Africa - resource nationalism, delayed political reform and increased political assertiveness against traditional western interests. In Africa we can label it the "Dos Santos" effect. It is unfortunate that the clash of interests over strategic energy assets between China and the West is likely to further entrench non-democratic regimes in oil rich states in Africa with neither doing enough to propagate political reform to these non-accountable governments.

However, the criticism should not result in China being branded the continent's latest coloniser.

But as China's presence and influence in Africa expands, it will find it increasingly difficult to stay out of domestic political issues. The recent elections in Zambia where the opposition leader whipped up anti-Chinese sentiment in an attempt to rally domestic support portends the use of the "China card" being played in domestic African politics.

China is even having an impact on economic policy-making in South Africa. Disagreements on trade policy due to intense competition from China are fuelling disputes between government and COSATU. Import quotas on Chinese textiles and garments - forced on government by labour lobbyists - are a case in point.

Africa's geo-strategic relationship is shifting away from the West toward the East - and focusing on China. China's commercial engagement with Africa is challenging the vested interests of the former colonial powers. The burgeoning relationship holds out a great deal of opportunity for Africa.

China's engagement strategy toward Africa is a long-term one. But Africa's strategy toward China is ad hoc and fragmented. Even Africa's regional associations do not have common positions on how to engage China. It is imperative that African states gain an understanding of how to leverage China's commercial and political interests in the continent.

Europe regards Africa as a developmental burden whilst China sees Africa as a commercial opportunity. The strategies of engagement are different but the outcomes will be the same unless African governments and private sectors learn to better engage China and channel its attention in the continent toward development, not commercial exploitation.

Regional Business Briefs

DHL plans investment of millions in China
DHL plans investment of millions in China German air express and logistics giant DHL plans to invest more than US$ 110 million in China over the next few years to maintain its leading position and to capitalize on the country's continued growth in trade. China is one of DHL's fastest-growing markets, accounting for 25 percent of its revenue in the Asia-Pacific and 10 percent of its global sales. The announcement was made by Klaus Zumwinkel, board chairman of Deutsche Post World Net, DHL's parent company, during his latest North Asian trip. He also announced investment commitments of over US$ 90 million for Japan and US$ 75 million for South Korea. The new investment is a key initiative for DHL to enhance its position in Northeast Asia, which will be the fastest growing transportation market in the Asia-Pacific region by 2020.

Tesco buying big in China
Britain's largest retailer Tesco plans to buy 2.2 billion pounds worth of finished goods in China in 2008 as the country becomes its most important overseas supplier as well as a key retail market. The hypermarket giant now buys 60 percent of its internationally made goods in China and works with over 300 vendors in the world's most populous country, said Ken Towle, CEO of Tesco China. In addition, Tesco formally opened its first superstore under its own brand in Beijing recently. In December, Tesco boosted its stake in local hypermarket chain Hypemall from 50 percent to 90 percent, paying 180 million pounds and taking Hypemall's 46 stores into its network.

ONGC, Gazprom sign energy cooperation pact
 India's Oil and Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. recently announced that it had signed an agreement with Russia's state-run Gazprom to jointly explore oil and gas fields in India, Russia and other countries. Gazprom has invited ONGC's participation in eight projects in Russia, the Indian firm said in a statement. "ONGC in turn extended an invitation to Gazprom for participation in integrated petrochemicals, LNG and power projects in India," it said. As well as cooperation in midstream and downstream oil and gas projects in each other's countries, the agreement also covers the supply of liquefied natural gas to India and compressed natural gas related projects in India.

Cairn wins two exploration sites in India
 British oil explorer Cairn Energy Plc announced that Cairn India had won an interest in two new offshore exploration blocks in India. Cairn Energy India Pty Ltd has been awarded a 10 percent interest in the 9,400 square km Palar Basin block, with Cairn India Ltd getting a 25 percent interest. Cairn India Ltd also won a 40 percent interest in the 12,300 square km Kerala Konkan Basin block.

Pakistan foreign investment on the rise
 Foreign investment in Pakistan is likely to jump more than 50 percent from US$ 3.87 billion in 2006 to approx. US$ 6 billion this year, due to a series of sweeping reforms that have helped turn the economy around. Salman Shah, adviser on finance to Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz, said foreign stakes in Pakistan's financial sector, especially its banks, were growing and several foreign banks were interested in the Pakistani market. The banking and financial services sector attracted FDI of US$ 517 million, followed by US$ 495 million invested in the communications sector, and US$ 315 million in oil and gas exploration. Shah added that the reform process, particularly the privatisation, deregulation, and liberalisation policies have paid very rich dividends. Pakistan sold several big state-run firms, including its biggest privatisation of all, the US$ 2.6 billion sale of a controlling 26 percent stake in Pakistan Telecommunication Co Ltd, to Emirates Telecommunications Corp in June 2005.

AFD provides funds for development of Vietnam's infrastructure
The French Development Agency (AFD) will provide EUR123.4 million (US$ 160.3 million) in official development assistance to help Vietnam implement three infrastructure development projects. In the first project, AFD will provide EUR80 million to help Vietnam build a railway route in Hanoi, which links a railway station in Tu Liem district with the Hanoi Railway Station in central city. AFD will also give EUR32 million to a project on upgrading a 285-km railway system from Hanoi to the northern border province of Lao Cai. The project, implemented from now until 2012, is expected to contribute to economic and tourism development in the Northern provinces, as well as to the country's regional integration. The remaining EUR11.4 million will be provided for construction of public works to prevent floods at two sections of the Sai Gon River in Ho Chi Minh City and southern Binh Duong province. Since 1994, AFD has provided Vietnam with a total ODA of EUR720 million.

Vinashin in JV with Dutch Shipbuilder
 The Vietnam Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (Vinashin) has signed a contract with its Dutch partner, Damen Shipbuilding Corporation, to set up a shipyard in the northern port city of Hai Phong. The 42-ha Damen-Vinashin shipyard will be built at an estimated cost of 30 million euros (US$ 39 million). It is scheduled to start operating after two years of construction. Upon its completion, the joint venture will manufacture various kinds of ships like tug boats, high-speed ships, and vessels for offshore service. The establishment of the joint venture marks a new development stage in the cooperation between the Damen and the Song Cam shipyard of Vinashin, which has cooperated in building SAR rescue ships in Vietnam for many years.  

 

Asia Business Briefing, March 2007

Editorial - China pursues a continental market


Recently, Chinese President Hu Jintao travelled once again to Africa. He has visited 17 African states over the last ten months - more than any other head of state. China's political focus on Africa is unprecedented in Beijing's relations with any state or region. Considering the very regular visits of China's top leadership to Africa, the Chinese obviously see us as important. The question is, why do the Chinese regard us Africans as being so important?

SOE strategies Chinese firms are trailblazing across the continent acquiring mineral and energy assets. There are now over 800 Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) active in African regions. They have a presence in practically all African economies but China's largest investments to date are in the energy endowed economies of Nigeria, Sudan and Angola - the latter is China's largest suppler of oil. According to the Chinese government, its enterprises have already invested $6,27bn in Africa. China's single largest global investment to date has been in Nigeria when China's oil major CNOOC acquired an oil concession for $2,27bn.

Welcoming investment African governments have been generally welcoming of Chinese investment. Nigeria, Angola, Sudan and Equatorial Guinea have been the recipients of the largest inflows of Chinese investment on the continent. The nature of their economies - commodity rich, pervasive state intervention in the economy, weak commercial law, and shaky public sector institutions - all lend themselves to rapid market entry. Chinese firms have rapidly been able to gain market traction in these economies. The Chinese have had a harder time in South Africa though. Market competition is greater, the mining sector is mostly wrapped up by the majors and differing cultural conditions have all conspired to thwart China's success in the local market.

Strategic drivers But what are the strategic drivers of China's foray into Africa? The securing of energy security is first. China has also set a trade target of $100bn with Africa by the end of 2010. This will make it the continent's largest trading partner. Africa is a new continental market for lesser priced Chinese exports.

But the most strategic driver of China Inc.'s venture into Africa is Beijing's long term strategy to remove its economy from international commodity markets. By acquiring commodity assets at source, negotiating prices with the recipient (African) government and securing long term supply contracts, China seeks to establish parallel markets that are removed from international commodity markets where prices are set in either London or New York. This is the underlying factor driving Chinese foreign commercial policy in Africa.

Strategic partnership

China is a key country with which South Africa needs to co-operate to promote the agenda of the developing world within multilateral organisations. There exists much potential for South Africa and China to act as strategic partners to promote the interests of the developing emerging market world.

South Africa risks, however, missing out on China's economic revolution unless our society develops a greater knowledge and understanding of the Chinese. China has become the most confident and assertive commercial player in Africa. It appears that China will over time displace Western commercial interests and political influence on the continent. But China is not the new coloniser. It is an expanding global power toward which Africa must pragmatically align itself.

Regional Business Briefs


CVRD to boost investment in China
Brazilian iron ore giant Companhia Vale de Rio Doce (CVRD) plans to invest US$ 6.5 billion this year to support its expansion in China. The investment will go into the company's nickel processing and coal mining activities in China, and also into equipment purchases, according to CVRD's chief executive officer Roger Agnelli. The company will launch a US$ 62 million in Dalian in July next year, which will churn out 32,000 tonnes of nickel products each year. Agnelli pointed out that the new product will make the CVRD the second largest manufacturer of nickel products in China. The company is also considering expanding its investment in China's coal mines, with an anthracite plant and a coke project already launched in the country. CVRD also intends to buy more equipment in China for use in power plants, ports and railways in Brazil.

Foreign firms eye joint oil projects
Foreign giants are gearing up to further tap China's offshore reserves since the country's top offshore oil firm opened an unprecedented number of blocks for international collaboration. This year, 22 blocks covering an area of 114,050 square kilometres are available for international cooperation, China National Offshore Oil Corp (CNOOC) said in a public notice. It is largest-ever offer for international cooperation in the country's oil and gas sector. The 22 blocks include three blocks in the South Yellow Sea Basin, four blocks in the East China Sea and 15 blocks in the South China Sea. CNOOC spokesperson Liu Junshan said that developing the 22 blocks will require fairly complicated technology and high-level expertise and therefore, it will be necessary to bring in international experience. Two companies that have thus far indicated interest are Total and BP.

Allianz plans to enter India's retail banking
German insurance giant Allianz is planning a retail banking foray in India. "We are examining the market in banking and asset management and are in talks with the authorities," Werner Zedelius, Allianz's growth markets operations head said. Allianz is already present in Indian insurance market through its joint venture with Bajaj Auto. "We are looking very intensively at whether we should enter India in the retail banking market," Zedelius said. "Looking at the growth patterns of the Indian economy and prospects for banking here, we see this as a very attractive opportunity," he added. Zedelius said Allianz sees India as its most important market among other emerging countries like China and Russia.

Havell's acquires Dutch firm Sylvania
Electrical equipment major, Havell's Group has acquired Europe's Sylvania, headquartered in Frankfurt in Germany, for an acquisition price of US$ 300 million. According to Havell's Chief Executive, Anil Gupta, the acquisition "is an all cash deal". Sylvania has an annual sales turnover of US$ 600 million. With the latest acquisition, Havell's will catapult into a US $ one billion company in size. Sylvania which is a popular market brand in the US, European and Latin American plants has ten manufacturing facilities across the three continents including one in Africa.

Inpex wins Indonesia exploration rights with Total

 Inpex Holdings Inc., Japan's biggest energy developer, announced that it has been awarded an offshore block from Indonesia jointly with France's Total SA. Indonesia, Asia Pacific's only OPEC member, earlier this month awarded nine oil and gas blocks to a host of energy firms, and Total won the Southeast Mahakam block in East Kalimantan. Inpex and Total each have a 50-percent stake in the block, with Total as the operator. The block is located adjacent to the Mahakam block, from which the two firms are producing crude oil and natural gas.

Hyundai to build US$ 270 million engine plant
 Hyundai Motor Co. South Korea's top auto maker, announced plans to
invest US$ 270 million to build an engine plant at its US car making unit in Alabama to serve growing demand in the world's No.1 auto market. The engine plant, estimated to create about 520 jobs, will begin mass output from September 2008 and supply engines to the Alabama plant and a Georgia plant being built by its affiliate, Kia Motors Corp. Separately, Hyundai also said it would begin mass production of fuel-efficient environmentally friendly hybrid cars from 2009, with a production target of 300,000 in 2015.

Mercosur to explore Free Trade Agreement with Pakistan
Mercosur, a regional group of four Latin American countries, has expressed its willingness to sign a free trade agreement (FTA) with Pakistan. Mercosur, comprising Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay and Brazil, is an emerging trading bloc, which is also known as Southern Common market in Latin America. According to the Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the Argentine Chamber of deputies Dr Jorge M Arguelio, South American countries view Pakistan as a 'gateway to East Asia.' He noted that an agreement already in place between Pakistan and Argentina on enhancing trade and economic ties would bolster mutually beneficial cooperation for the well being of the people of two nations.

Singapore's Banyan Tree to build luxury resort in Vietnam
 Singapore's Banyan Tree Group has been granted approval to build a luxury resort in the Chan May-Lang Co economic zone in central Thua Thien Hue province. The US$ 276.2 million project will include hotels, restaurants, sports facilities and entertainment areas, covering a total 209 ha. Once completed, the deluxe resort will serve a minimum of 100,000 tourists per year. The Chan May-Lang Co economic zone has thus far attracted more than 60 domestic and foreign invested projects worth hundreds of millions of dollars.

 


Asia Business Briefing, April 2007  

Editorial - India's Commodities Hunt in Africa

India's attempts to tap into Africa's natural resources have been increasingly picking up in recent years, and while still a comparatively small player compared to China, India's hunt for African commodities has become a noticeable issue on the continent. Large demands placed on India by population and economic growth has led to ever-increasing needs which Africa, on the commodities level, can meet.

According to a 2006 PriceWaterhouseCoopers study, India's demand for raw materials has at an annual rate of 26% since 2002, resulting in a US$ 25.8 billion minerals trade deficit - a factor which is beneficial for Africa due to investments on India's part in basic technology, infrastructure development and social projects as a tool to gain access into the continents commodities sector.

Following China
In a World Bank report, 'Africa's Silk Road', released last year, it was noted that "for every state-owned African mine that China invests in, India is usually the next-highest bidder". The report also determined that Indian firms have agreed to nearly US$ 11 billion in investments, with at least US$ 320 million of foreign direct investment already delivered and this figure is likely to rise.

Oil involvement grows
Indian firms' commercial involvement in Africa's commodities sector has largely been geared towards sustaining the countries industrial growth path. With this, the dominant slant has been towards minerals mining and energy acquisitions in both the oil & gas sector as well as in coal.

According to the International Energy Agency, India's import dependence to meet its crude oil requirements will jump to 94% by 2030, up from the 2005 level of approx. 70% should the country maintain present growth levels. Vulnerability caused by poor domestic deposits, coupled with projections that by 2025, India will consume 7.4 million bpd (up from the present 2 million bpd), has lead to the Indian Government to continue to promote purchases of international energy assets. Currently the world's seventh largest consumer of oil, India is anticipated to take the number 4 spot in the near future. It is for this reason that the country is so actively engaging in multi-billion dollar energy deals with Africa.

In late-2006, India's cabinet approved a decision by ONGC Videsh Ltd. to invest US$ 750 million in the Greater Nile Petroleum Operating Co. of Sudan which is expected to commence in June-2007. The move follows on from last year's announcement that the company intends to invest approx. US$ 1 billion over the next five years in the Cote d'Ivoire's oil and gas sector.

National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC), India's largest power production company, also announced in January earlier this year that it may allocate US$ 1.7 billion to secure gas supplies for its plants from Nigeria. US$ 1 billion will be used to finance the development of a Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) terminal in Nigeria, with the remaining US$ 700 million to set-up a re-gasification terminal in India.

In addition, state-owned Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) also recently stated that the Nigerian government had offered it two proven oil fields in exchange for setting up a 15 million tonnes per annum refinery in the country. The project, which has been under discussion since 2004, is expected to see investment of up to US$ 3.5 billion and will boost India's involvement in the country, particularly considering the fields combined reserves of 1 trillion barrels.

India has also been making inroads into what many deem 'China's African backyard' - Sudan. With confirmed investments in the oil sector worth US$ 2.2 billion so far, India is gearing up to become a major force in the country. This attitude was echoed last February when India's Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) was awarded a contract to build a US$ 1.2 billion refinery and a US$ 200 million, 740 km long multi-product export pipeline from the Khartoum refinery to Port Sudan.

Coal also feature on India's list
In addition to sourcing oil as a means to meet energy demands, India has also actively been engaging in coal-related projects in Africa.

In December 2006, the Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL), the National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC), Coal India (CIL) and Rashtriya Ispat Nigam (RINL) announced plans to establish a joint venture partnership aimed at acquiring overseas coal assets. Armed with a collective US$ 2.3 billion, the venture is certain to look towards Africa to meet rising coal demands.

Whilst still awaiting government backing, the consortium is confident that the JV will go a long way towards securing global energy resources and help in meeting India's increasing coal shortages, particularly that of coking coal which is predicted to see imports rise to 70 million tonnes by 2019/2020.

This increasing need for coal importation could also benefit South Africa. A report released earlier this year predicts that India could account for huge growth in South Africa's coal export market and become a major player between 2015 and 2020. In 2006, India imported 30 million tonnes of thermal coal - of which 2.5 million came from South Africa. While at present, 90% of South Africa's coal goes to Europe, the chances of this shifting towards India are good. India's current demand for thermal coal from the power sector alone is climbing by 100 million tonnes per annum - a figure which, like with oil consumption levels, is expected to rise and see the country's commodities hunt in Africa intensify.

Kevin Town, Senior Business Analyst, Emerging Market Focus


 

Regional Business Briefings

China forecast to become Asia Pacific's largest auto maker by 2010
China is poised to overtake Japan to become the Asia Pacific's largest auto maker by 2010 with an annual output of 11 million light vehicles. Japanese production is reducing largely because production is being shifted to the Chinese market, according to Benjamin Asher, a Beijing-based business manager with JD Power-Automotive Resources Asia. Japan manufactured 10.8 million light vehicles in 2006, but growth for 2007 is expected to decline 1.7 percent to 10.6 million units and to 10 million by 2010. Conversely, China will continue to grow, despite an anticipated slowdown from the 28.4 percent growth in 2006. Chinese output for this year is expected to increase by 14.3 percent to 7.6 million units. India, South Korea and Thailand are also significant manufacturers in the region and manufacture over one million vehicles a year.

Hershey invests in India
Hershey Co. and Godrej Foods and Beverages have formed a joint venture to make and distribute confectionery products, snacks and beverages across India. Hershey will have a 51% stake and is investing approximately US$ 60 million, which includes capital to set up infrastructure. Hershey's products will be distributed to 1.6 million outlets through Godrej's existing network. Hershey CEO Richard Lenny said, "Over time we expect the business outside to grow dramatically and one of the major drivers of that growth is the long-term potential we see in the Indian market." Godrej will spend US$ 5.8 million to build a plant in the north Indian state of Himachal Pradesh where hard candy will be made. In India, Hershey will face competition from global confectionary giants including Nestle and market leader Cadbury, who have a strong presence across the country. In January this year, Hershey announced a similar joint venture in China with Korean major Lotte Confectionery

Indonesia assures foreign investors on reforms
Indonesia's strong economic expansion and increased political stability will allow the government to focus on reforms, according to the Economic Minister, Mr Boediono. He said an investment law passed by parliament recently included equal treatment for domestic and foreign firms in some areas and the right of foreign firms to seek redress through "binding" arbitration in cases of disputes with government. The authorities are formulating a variety of regulations to support the law, including investment approval procedures and tax reforms, he said. Moves are also underway to create a "national single window" allowing importers and exporters to deal on line with customs and all related government agencies cutting time and transactions costs, he said. On reforms in the financial area, he said the government intended to push forward with improvements to the operations of capital markets, including a more effective regulatory framework for insurance and pensions

FDI into Philippines increases 51 percent
Net foreign direct investment (FDI) into the Philippines rose 51 percent to US$ 357 million in January from a year ago, according to the central bank. Foreign banks accounted for most of the inflows as they opted to retain their earnings in local branches. Net equity capital inflows rose nearly 70 percent in January to US$ 70 million as the Philippines' improving government finances, strong domestic demand and low inflation attracted overseas investors, particularly from Japan and the United States. The electronics sector, services industry and real estate companies benefited from the inflows. The central bank said it expected FDI flows to remain positive for the rest of 2007, with investors taking advantage of the country's improving investment climate.

Tesco plans expansion in Thailand
 The Thai unit of Tesco, Britain's largest retailer, has announced plans to spend US$ 217.4 million on expanding in Thailand this year. It is expected to add about 60 convenience stores to the existing 260, according to Darmp Sukontasap, a senior executive of Ek-Chai Distribution System, which operates Tesco-Lotus stores in Thailand. Tesco Lotus, which runs 56 hypermarkets, competes in the convenience store market with CP 7-Eleven, Thailand's biggest chain with about 4,000 stores and plans to add 450 this year. In the hypermarket sector, it competes with French-owned Carrefour with 24 hypermarkets and Big C Supercenter, which has 49 and aims to add four new stores in 2007. The Thai government is currently working on amendments to the retail law governing the retail sector in the wake of demands by small shop owners that the spread of superstores be controlled.

New Vietnam oil field estimated to hold large reserves
A new oilfield off Vietnam's southern coast is expected to hold proven and probable reserves of approximately 4.98 million tonnes of crude oil, according to a recent government report. Appraisals at the Phuong Dong oilfield also showed condensate reserves of around 0.73 million tonnes and 3.16 billion cubic metres of natural gas. The government ordered JVPC, the operator of the field, which is 46.5 percent owned by Nippon Oil Corp. of Japan, to conduct further tests at the field to determine the exact oil potential. Other owners of the fields are ConocoPhillips' and Petrovietnam's exploration arm PVEP, which hold 36 percent and 17.5 percent interest, respectively.

Vietnam sees increase in new FDI projects
Vietnam expects foreign direct investments to hit US$ 16 billion this year. Vietnam has already licensed US$ 2.5 billion worth in new projects in the first quarter, according to Phan Huu Thang, Director of the Foreign Investment Agency. He said 20 further projects worth more than US$ 20 billion were under review. Investments in new projects would rise 17.6 percent from 2006 to US$ 12 billion while disbursement would reach US$ 4 billion, Thang said. Major projects awaiting licenses included industrial zones, computer production, a horse racing track and sports complex, two thermal power plants and a shipbuilding project. Foreign direct investment has been a key source of foreign exchange for Vietnam, helping it offset a rising trade deficit. Foreigners have also invested US$ 4 billion in Vietnam's two fast-expanding stock markets. They hold about 30 percent of the total shares on the two exchanges, which have a combined market capitalisation of US$ 22 billion.

 


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