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Asia
Business Briefing |
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Asia Business
Briefing, January 2007
Editorial - China's mining and commodity trade with Africa

In June last year, China ousted the world’s top iron ore
producer, Brazil’s Vale do Rio Doce (CVRD) and France’s Eramet,
to secure the rights to extract huge untapped iron ore reserves
in Belinga, Gabon. Dedicating US$3 billion to the project, which
includes the building of advanced infrastructure to reach the
remote and mountainous mining area, Beijing was focused in its
bid to oust other foreign companies and usher in a new era for
mining in the West African country.
China has adopted a similarly ambitious and
risk-averse attitude to mining and commodity investments
throughout Africa and is starting to reap the benefits. The
reason for China’s commodity push is obvious. The Chinese
economy has shown a huge demand for base metals, the majority of
which are used in the production of steel. China ranks as the
world’s largest importer of iron ore, manganese, lead and
chromium. However, the Chinese Ministry of Land and Resources (MLR)
has projected that by 2010 domestic iron production will be able
to meet 38 per cent of demand by 2010 and only 29 per cent by
2020. Furthermore, it is estimated that by 2010 and 2020 the
shortage of coal will reach 250 million and 700 million tons
respectively.
China is therefore looking to Africa to
address these short and long-term needs and is on the
acquisition trail on the continent. In addition to the extensive
deals signed at the China – Africa Summit last November, which
included a US$938 million deal to develop an aluminium plant in
Egypt and US$230 million for ferrochrome mining and smelting in
South Africa, China has been active in securing an array of
African commodity deals.
Some of China’s larger commodity investments
include a US$500 million deal to extract copper from the
Chambishi mine in Zambia, US$600 million to mine for gold in
Ghana and US$55 million to build a cement factory in Cape Verde.
In addition to this, Chinese officials have pledged US$1.3
billion to boost Zimbabwe’s coal and thermal power capacities
and end the crippling power shortages which have epitomised the
country’s economic collapse.
In South Africa, China Inc. has found it more
difficult to gain market traction in the commodity sector.
However, in addition to the cited ferrochrome investment,
Beijing has invested in platinum and copper mining ventures in
South Africa, with state-owned Zijin Mining recently buying a
sizeable stake in London-listed Ridge Mining. Chairman of CITIC
- Larry Yung – successfully purchased of a 1.1 per cent stake
for US$800 million in Anglo American in November last year
personifies of China’s commodity push.
2006 was China’s “Year of Africa”. Li
Zhaoxing’s recent foray to Africa continues this trend. 2007
will continue to see very senior level political visits with
business delegations in tow from China to Africa. Beijing will
continue to acquire key commodities and raw materials in Africa
in 2007. Potential economies to watch are Zambia, the DRC,
Gabon, Zimbabwe and South Africa, with Equatorial Guinea, Chad
and Niger increasing in importance as deals are signed. Sectors
most important are copper, iron ore, coal, uranium, ferrochrome
and diamonds becoming more prominent as Chinese consumers’
spending power continues to rise.
Regional Business Briefs
ADB urges Asian trade bloc & financial cooperation
The
head of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has urged East Asian
countries to create a regional free trade bloc and to increase
financial cooperation to reduce the risk of crises. "To
maximise the potential benefits of free trade agreements, East
Asia has
to
chart a clear roadmap to establish a region-wide FTA,"
Harihuko Kuroda said at the East Asia summit. ASEAN speeded up
its own goal for a single market to 2015 at the summit, but in
a region with wide disparities in economic development, and
where business often takes a backseat to nationalism, a full
free trade area is unlikely. Kuroda noted some of the
contradictions in East Asia, which needs a total of US$ 3
trillion to deliver power and water to its people and bridge
infrastructure gaps over the next 10 years but whose foreign
exchange reserves are now approaching that level.
Intel plans new China plant
Intel Corp., the world's top chipmaker, plans to invest in a
major new plant in China to make leading-edge chips, its biggest
investment in the country to date. The plant will make
65-nanometre multi-core processors and will be Intel's first
such manufacturing facility in Asia. Intel has already invested
approx. US$ 1 billion in China to date. Intel, which entered the
China market in 1985, has over 6,000 employees working on
assembly, testing, research and development and sales and
marketing in 16 cities there, according to the company's Web
site. Until now, most foreign chipmakers have used China for
lower-technology test and assembly work, with few doing more
sophisticated production in the market. Intel has announced that
it plans to make China an independent sales and marketing region
in 2007, underlining the country's growing importance as the
company's second-largest consumer market after the United
States.
Chrysler to co-operate with China’s
Chery
Chrysler Group President Tom LaSorda confirmed that his company
had reached an agreement in principle with China's Chery Co to
distribute Chery- made small vehicles in the global markets.
"Being able to partner with Chery represents a long-term
solution to the challenges of how to profitably compete in the
small vehicle segment," said LaSorda. "This supply partnership
is part of a new business model that is allowing us to introduce
all-new
products more quickly, with less capital spending. This
announcement reflects the realities of a global industry and
DaimlerChrysler's need to remain competitive in all segments,"
he added. Chery has already adopted some of the most
state-of-the art manufacturing processes and the level of
technology adopted in their plant rivals that of many western
automakers.
Citi Property to invest in Indian
property market
New York based Citigroup Property Investors (CPI) is planning to
invest US$ 500 million to build assets in Indian property
market. According to David Schaefer, managing director and Head
- Asia pacific, the company is looking at investing in the
hospitality and residential sectors in addition to creating
office space in tech-parks. "The funds being brought to India
are being utilised for creating a quality land bank in major
cities and also to invest in specific projects undertaken by
builders," he added. The company, since May 2005, has invested
US$ 250 million in building real estate assets in residential
and hospitality sectors in Chennai, Bangalore, Pune, Delhi and
Hyderabad.
Indonesia inks oil contracts to boost reserves
Indonesia signed new production sharing contracts with three
global energy firms -- ConocoPhillips, CNOOC Ltd. and Premier
Oil in order to boost reserves, the oil minister has announced.
Asia-Pacific's only OPEC member has been offering new
exploration rights to try to stem a steady decline in oil
production that has threatened its status as an exporter.
Indonesia has struggled to maintain output as the country has
failed to tap new oilfields fast enough. ConocoPhillips is in a
joint venture with Statoil ASA of Norway to explore 5,086 square
kilometres (1,964 square miles) of the Kuma block off west
Sulawesi. The oil contractor will get 35 percent if oil is found
in the Kuma block and 40 percent of gas, while the rest will go
to the government. Indonesia also signed an oil contract with
CNOOC for the onshore Batanghari block in central Sumatra. The
oil contractor will get 20 percent of production if oil is found
and 40 percent of gas in Batanghari. Indonesia says it has about
8.6 billion barrels of proven and potential oil reserves and 182
trillion cubic feet of gas.
Malaysia's GDP growth to slow in 2007
Malaysia's economic growth will likely ease to 5.2 percent this
year from an estimated 5.9 percent in 2006 as a subdued global
outlook dampens exports. The estimates by the privately-funded
Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER) are below the
government's growth targets of 6.0 percent in 2007 and 5.8
percent in 2006. "With growth in the developed countries
moderating and given the increasing uncertainty in the global
outlook for 2007, Malaysia's exports could be affected and
domestic demand will, in turn, also be affected," the institute
said in a report. Government spending in 2007 could partly
cushion the economy from the global slowdown, it said.
Economists expect Malaysia's trade-driven economy to moderate
slightly this year as softer U.S. demand hits exports of
electronics and crude palm oil. However, steady demand from
China and Japan could take up some of the slack and offer room
for some growth.
Asia Business Briefing, February 2007
Editorial - China's confidence in Africa
In January, Chinese President Hu Jintao paid yet another visit to Africa. He has visited 17 African states over the last ten months - more than any other head of state. China has rapidly become the most assertive investor nation in Africa.
There are now over 800 Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) active in African regions. They have a presence in practically all African economies but China's largest investments to date are in the energy-endowed economies of Nigeria. Sudan and Angola - the latter is China's largest suppler of oil. According to the Chinese government, its enterprises have already invested US$ 6.27 billion in Africa.
Chinese SOE construction and telecom firms are also expanding their footprint across the region and are gaining market traction in all economies they enter. Following them are pharmaceutical, automotive and engineering equipment firms. China's Government announced in November that it has established a US$ 5 billion African investment fund. This fund will further fuel the expansion of these sectors.
Emboldened by the attention and financial gains from China, Africa states may be less inclined to pursue political reform. The "Chavez effect" is taking hold in Africa - resource nationalism, delayed political reform and increased political assertiveness against traditional western interests. In Africa we can label it the "Dos Santos" effect. It is unfortunate that the clash of interests over strategic energy assets between China and the West is likely to further entrench non-democratic regimes in oil rich states in Africa with neither doing enough to propagate political reform to these non-accountable governments.
However, the criticism should not result in China being branded the continent's latest coloniser.
But as China's presence and influence in Africa expands, it will find it increasingly difficult to stay out of domestic political issues. The recent elections in Zambia where the opposition leader whipped up anti-Chinese sentiment in an attempt to rally domestic support portends the use of the "China card" being played in domestic African politics.
China is even having an impact on economic policy-making in South Africa. Disagreements on trade policy due to intense competition from China are fuelling disputes between government and COSATU. Import quotas on Chinese textiles and garments - forced on government by labour lobbyists - are a case in point.
Africa's geo-strategic relationship is shifting away from the West toward the East - and focusing on China. China's commercial engagement with Africa is challenging the vested interests of the former colonial powers. The burgeoning relationship holds out a great deal of opportunity for Africa.
China's engagement strategy toward Africa is a long-term one. But Africa's strategy toward China is ad hoc and fragmented. Even Africa's regional associations do not have common positions on how to engage China. It is imperative that African states gain an understanding of how to leverage China's commercial and political interests in the continent.
Europe regards Africa as a developmental burden whilst China sees Africa as a commercial opportunity. The strategies of engagement are different but the outcomes will be the same unless African governments and private sectors learn to better engage China and channel its attention in the continent toward development, not commercial exploitation.
Regional Business Briefs
DHL plans investment of millions in China
DHL plans investment of millions in China German air
express and logistics giant DHL plans to invest more
than US$ 110 million in China over the next few
years to maintain its leading position and to
capitalize on the country's continued growth in
trade. China is one of DHL's fastest-growing
markets, accounting for 25 percent of its revenue in
the Asia-Pacific and 10 percent of its global sales.
The announcement was made by Klaus Zumwinkel, board
chairman of Deutsche Post World Net, DHL's parent
company, during his latest North Asian trip. He also
announced investment commitments of over US$ 90
million for Japan and US$ 75 million for South
Korea. The new investment is a key initiative for
DHL to enhance its position in Northeast Asia, which
will be the fastest growing transportation market in
the Asia-Pacific region by 2020.
Tesco buying big in China
Britain's
largest retailer Tesco plans to buy 2.2 billion
pounds worth of finished goods in China in 2008 as
the country becomes its most important overseas
supplier as well as a key retail market. The
hypermarket giant now buys 60 percent of its
internationally made goods in China and works with
over 300 vendors in the world's most populous
country, said Ken Towle, CEO of Tesco China. In
addition, Tesco formally opened its first superstore
under its own brand in Beijing recently. In
December, Tesco boosted its stake in local
hypermarket chain Hypemall from 50 percent to 90
percent, paying 180 million pounds and taking
Hypemall's 46 stores into its network.
ONGC, Gazprom sign energy cooperation pact
India's Oil and Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. recently announced that it had
signed an agreement with Russia's state-run Gazprom
to jointly explore oil and gas fields in India,
Russia and other countries. Gazprom has invited
ONGC's participation in eight projects in Russia,
the Indian firm said in a statement. "ONGC in turn
extended an invitation to Gazprom for participation
in integrated petrochemicals, LNG and power projects
in India," it said. As well as cooperation in
midstream and downstream oil and gas projects in
each other's countries, the agreement also covers
the supply of liquefied natural gas to India and
compressed natural gas related projects in India.
Cairn wins two exploration sites in India
British oil explorer Cairn Energy Plc announced that Cairn India had won
an interest in two new offshore exploration blocks
in India. Cairn Energy India Pty Ltd has been
awarded a 10 percent interest in the 9,400 square km Palar Basin block, with Cairn India Ltd getting a 25
percent interest. Cairn India Ltd also won a 40
percent interest in the 12,300 square km Kerala
Konkan Basin block.
Pakistan foreign investment on the rise
Foreign investment in Pakistan is likely to jump more than 50 percent from
US$ 3.87 billion in 2006 to approx. US$ 6 billion
this year, due to a series of sweeping reforms that
have helped turn the economy around. Salman Shah,
adviser on finance to Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz,
said foreign stakes in Pakistan's financial sector,
especially its banks, were growing and several
foreign banks were interested in the Pakistani
market. The banking and financial services sector
attracted FDI of US$ 517 million, followed by US$
495 million invested in the communications sector,
and US$ 315 million in oil and gas exploration. Shah
added that the reform process, particularly the
privatisation, deregulation, and liberalisation
policies have paid very rich dividends. Pakistan
sold several big state-run firms, including its
biggest privatisation of all, the US$ 2.6 billion
sale of a controlling 26 percent stake in Pakistan
Telecommunication Co Ltd, to Emirates
Telecommunications Corp in June 2005.
AFD provides funds for development of
Vietnam's infrastructure
The French Development Agency (AFD) will provide
EUR123.4 million (US$ 160.3 million) in official
development assistance to help Vietnam implement
three infrastructure development projects. In the
first project, AFD will provide EUR80 million to
help Vietnam build a railway route in Hanoi, which
links a railway station in Tu Liem district with the
Hanoi Railway Station in central city. AFD will also
give EUR32 million to a project on upgrading a
285-km railway system from Hanoi to the northern
border province of Lao Cai. The project, implemented
from now until 2012, is expected to contribute to
economic and tourism development in the Northern
provinces, as well as to the country's regional
integration. The remaining EUR11.4 million will be
provided for construction of public works to prevent
floods at two sections of the Sai Gon River in Ho
Chi Minh City and southern Binh Duong province.
Since 1994, AFD has provided Vietnam with a total
ODA of EUR720 million.
Vinashin in JV with Dutch Shipbuilder
The Vietnam Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (Vinashin) has signed a
contract with its Dutch partner, Damen Shipbuilding
Corporation, to set up a shipyard in the northern
port city of Hai Phong. The 42-ha Damen-Vinashin
shipyard will be built at an estimated cost of 30
million euros (US$ 39 million). It is scheduled to
start operating after two years of construction.
Upon its completion, the joint venture will
manufacture various kinds of ships like tug boats,
high-speed ships, and vessels for offshore service.
The establishment of the joint venture marks a new
development stage in the cooperation between the
Damen and the Song Cam shipyard of Vinashin, which
has cooperated in building SAR rescue ships in
Vietnam for many years.
Asia Business Briefing, March 2007
Editorial - China pursues a continental market
Recently, Chinese President Hu Jintao travelled once again to Africa. He has visited 17 African states over the last ten months - more than any other head of state. China's political focus on Africa is unprecedented in Beijing's relations with any state or region. Considering the very regular visits of China's top leadership to Africa, the Chinese obviously see us as important. The question is, why do the Chinese regard us Africans as being so important?
SOE strategies
Chinese firms are trailblazing across the continent acquiring mineral and energy assets. There are now over 800 Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) active in African regions. They have a presence in practically all African economies but China's largest investments to date are in the energy endowed economies of Nigeria, Sudan and Angola - the latter is China's largest suppler of oil. According to the Chinese government, its enterprises have already invested $6,27bn in Africa. China's single largest global investment to date has been in Nigeria when China's oil major CNOOC acquired an oil concession for $2,27bn.
Welcoming investment
African governments have been generally welcoming of Chinese investment. Nigeria, Angola, Sudan and Equatorial Guinea have been the recipients of the largest inflows of Chinese investment on the continent. The nature of their economies - commodity rich, pervasive state intervention in the economy, weak commercial law, and shaky public sector institutions - all lend themselves to rapid market entry. Chinese firms have rapidly been able to gain market traction in these economies. The Chinese have had a harder time in South Africa though. Market competition is greater, the mining sector is mostly wrapped up by the majors and differing cultural conditions have all conspired to thwart China's success in the local market.
Strategic drivers
But what are the strategic drivers of China's foray into Africa? The securing of energy security is first. China has also set a trade target of $100bn with Africa by the end of 2010. This will make it the continent's largest trading partner. Africa is a new continental market for lesser priced Chinese exports.
But the most strategic driver of China Inc.'s venture into Africa is Beijing's long term strategy to remove its economy from international commodity markets. By acquiring commodity assets at source, negotiating prices with the recipient (African) government and securing long term supply contracts, China seeks to establish parallel markets that are removed from international commodity markets where prices are set in either London or New York. This is the underlying factor driving Chinese foreign commercial policy in Africa.
Strategic partnership
China is a key country with which South Africa needs to co-operate to promote the agenda of the developing world within multilateral organisations. There exists much potential for South Africa and China to act as strategic partners to promote the interests of the developing emerging market world.
South Africa risks, however, missing out on China's economic revolution unless our society develops a greater knowledge and understanding of the Chinese. China has become the most confident and assertive commercial player in Africa. It appears that China will over time displace Western commercial interests and political influence on the continent. But China is not the new coloniser. It is an expanding global power toward which Africa must pragmatically align itself.
Regional Business Briefs
CVRD to boost investment in China
Brazilian iron ore giant Companhia Vale de Rio Doce (CVRD) plans to invest
US$ 6.5 billion
this year to support its expansion in China. The investment will
go into the company's nickel processing and coal mining
activities in China, and also into equipment purchases,
according to CVRD's chief executive officer Roger Agnelli. The
company will launch a US$ 62 million in Dalian in July next
year, which will churn out 32,000 tonnes of nickel products each
year. Agnelli pointed out that the new product will make the
CVRD the second largest manufacturer of nickel products in
China. The company is also considering expanding its investment
in China's coal mines, with an anthracite plant and a coke
project already launched in the country. CVRD also intends to
buy more equipment in China for use in power plants, ports and
railways in Brazil.
Foreign firms eye joint oil projects
Foreign
giants are gearing up to further tap China's offshore reserves
since the country's top offshore oil firm opened an
unprecedented number of blocks for international collaboration.
This year, 22 blocks covering an area of 114,050 square
kilometres are available for international cooperation, China
National Offshore Oil Corp (CNOOC) said in a public notice. It
is largest-ever offer for international cooperation in the
country's oil and gas sector. The 22 blocks include three blocks
in the South Yellow Sea Basin, four blocks in the East China Sea
and 15 blocks in the South China Sea. CNOOC spokesperson Liu
Junshan said that developing the 22 blocks will require fairly
complicated technology and high-level expertise and therefore,
it will be necessary to bring in international experience. Two
companies that have thus far indicated interest are Total and
BP.
Allianz plans to enter India's retail banking
German insurance giant Allianz is planning a retail banking
foray in India. "We are examining
the market in banking and asset management and are in talks with
the authorities," Werner Zedelius, Allianz's growth markets
operations head said. Allianz is already present in Indian
insurance market through its joint venture with Bajaj Auto. "We
are looking very intensively at whether we should enter India in
the retail banking market," Zedelius said. "Looking at the
growth patterns of the Indian economy and prospects for banking
here, we see this as a very attractive opportunity," he added.
Zedelius said Allianz sees India as its most important market
among other emerging countries like China and Russia.
Havell's acquires Dutch firm Sylvania
Electrical equipment major, Havell's Group has acquired Europe's
Sylvania, headquartered in Frankfurt in Germany, for an
acquisition price of US$ 300 million. According to Havell's
Chief Executive, Anil Gupta, the acquisition "is an all cash
deal". Sylvania has an annual sales turnover of US$ 600 million.
With the latest acquisition, Havell's will catapult into a US $
one billion company in size. Sylvania which is a popular market
brand in the US, European and Latin American plants has ten
manufacturing facilities across the three continents including
one in Africa.
Inpex wins Indonesia exploration rights with Total
Inpex Holdings Inc., Japan's biggest energy developer, announced that it
has been awarded an offshore block from Indonesia jointly with
France's Total SA. Indonesia, Asia Pacific's only OPEC member,
earlier this month awarded nine oil and gas blocks to a host of
energy firms, and Total won the Southeast Mahakam block in East
Kalimantan. Inpex and Total each have a 50-percent stake in the
block, with Total as the operator. The block is located adjacent
to the Mahakam block, from which the two firms are producing
crude oil and natural gas.
Hyundai to build US$ 270 million engine plant
Hyundai Motor Co. South Korea's top auto maker, announced plans to
invest US$ 270 million to build an engine plant at its US car
making unit in Alabama to serve growing demand in the world's
No.1 auto market. The engine plant, estimated to create about
520 jobs, will begin mass output from September 2008 and supply
engines to the Alabama plant and a Georgia plant being built by
its affiliate, Kia Motors Corp. Separately, Hyundai also said it
would begin mass production of fuel-efficient environmentally
friendly hybrid cars from 2009, with a production target of
300,000 in 2015.
Mercosur to explore Free Trade Agreement with Pakistan
Mercosur, a regional group of four Latin American countries, has
expressed its willingness to sign a free trade agreement (FTA)
with Pakistan. Mercosur, comprising Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay
and Brazil, is an emerging trading bloc, which is also known as
Southern Common market in Latin America. According to the
Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the Argentine
Chamber of deputies Dr Jorge M Arguelio, South American
countries view Pakistan as a 'gateway to East Asia.' He noted
that an agreement already in place between Pakistan and
Argentina on enhancing trade and economic ties would bolster
mutually beneficial cooperation for the well being of the people
of two nations.
Singapore's Banyan Tree to build luxury resort in
Vietnam
Singapore's Banyan Tree Group has been granted approval to build a luxury
resort in the
Chan May-Lang Co economic zone in central Thua Thien Hue
province. The US$ 276.2 million project will include hotels,
restaurants, sports facilities and entertainment areas, covering
a total 209 ha. Once completed, the deluxe resort will serve a
minimum of 100,000 tourists per year. The Chan May-Lang Co
economic zone has thus far attracted more than 60 domestic and
foreign invested projects worth hundreds of millions of dollars.
Asia Business
Briefing, April 2007
Editorial - India's
Commodities Hunt in Africa
India's
attempts to tap into Africa's natural resources have been
increasingly picking up in recent years, and while still a
comparatively small player compared to China, India's hunt for
African commodities has become a noticeable issue on the
continent. Large demands placed on India by population and
economic growth has led to ever-increasing needs which Africa,
on the commodities level, can meet.
According to a 2006 PriceWaterhouseCoopers study, India's demand
for raw materials has at an annual rate of 26% since 2002,
resulting in a US$ 25.8 billion minerals trade deficit - a
factor which is beneficial for Africa due to investments on
India's part in basic technology, infrastructure development and
social projects as a tool to gain access into the continents
commodities sector.
Following China
In a World Bank report, 'Africa's Silk Road', released last
year, it was noted that "for every state-owned African mine that
China invests in, India is usually the next-highest bidder". The
report also determined that Indian firms have agreed to nearly
US$ 11 billion in investments, with at least US$ 320 million of
foreign direct investment already delivered and this figure is
likely to rise.
Oil involvement grows
Indian firms' commercial involvement in Africa's commodities
sector has largely been geared towards sustaining the countries
industrial growth path. With this, the dominant slant has been
towards minerals mining and energy acquisitions in both the oil
& gas sector as well as in coal.
According to the International Energy Agency, India's import
dependence to meet its crude oil requirements will jump to 94%
by 2030, up from the 2005 level of approx. 70% should the
country maintain present growth levels. Vulnerability caused by
poor domestic deposits, coupled with projections that by 2025,
India will consume 7.4 million bpd (up from the present 2
million bpd), has lead to the Indian Government to continue to
promote purchases of international energy assets. Currently the
world's seventh largest consumer of oil, India is anticipated to
take the number 4 spot in the near future. It is for this reason
that the country is so actively engaging in multi-billion dollar
energy deals with Africa.
In late-2006, India's cabinet approved a decision by ONGC Videsh
Ltd. to invest US$ 750 million in the Greater Nile Petroleum
Operating Co. of Sudan which is expected to commence in
June-2007. The move follows on from last year's announcement
that the company intends to invest approx. US$ 1 billion over
the next five years in the Cote d'Ivoire's oil and gas sector.
National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC), India's largest power
production company, also announced in January earlier this year
that it may allocate US$ 1.7 billion to secure gas supplies for
its plants from Nigeria. US$ 1 billion will be used to finance
the development of a Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) terminal in
Nigeria, with the remaining US$ 700 million to set-up a
re-gasification terminal in India.
In addition, state-owned Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) also
recently stated that the Nigerian government had offered it two
proven oil fields in exchange for setting up a 15 million tonnes
per annum refinery in the country. The project, which has been
under discussion since 2004, is expected to see investment of up
to US$ 3.5 billion and will boost India's involvement in the
country, particularly considering the fields combined reserves
of 1 trillion barrels.
India has also been making inroads into what many deem 'China's
African backyard' - Sudan. With confirmed investments in the oil
sector worth US$ 2.2 billion so far, India is gearing up to
become a major force in the country. This attitude was echoed
last February when India's Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC)
was awarded a contract to build a US$ 1.2 billion refinery and a
US$ 200 million, 740 km long multi-product export pipeline from
the Khartoum refinery to Port Sudan.
Coal also feature on India's list
In addition to sourcing oil as a means to meet energy demands,
India has also actively been engaging in coal-related projects
in Africa.
In December 2006, the Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL), the
National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC), Coal India (CIL) and
Rashtriya Ispat Nigam (RINL) announced plans to establish a
joint venture partnership aimed at acquiring overseas coal
assets. Armed with a collective US$ 2.3 billion, the venture is
certain to look towards Africa to meet rising coal demands.
Whilst still awaiting government backing, the consortium is
confident that the JV will go a long way towards securing global
energy resources and help in meeting India's increasing coal
shortages, particularly that of coking coal which is predicted
to see imports rise to 70 million tonnes by 2019/2020.
This increasing need for coal importation could also benefit
South Africa. A report released earlier this year predicts that
India could account for huge growth in South Africa's coal
export market and become a major player between 2015 and 2020.
In 2006, India imported 30 million tonnes of thermal coal - of
which 2.5 million came from South Africa. While at present, 90%
of South Africa's coal goes to Europe, the chances of this
shifting towards India are good. India's current demand for
thermal coal from the power sector alone is climbing by 100
million tonnes per annum - a figure which, like with oil
consumption levels, is expected to rise and see the country's
commodities hunt in Africa intensify.
Kevin Town, Senior Business Analyst, Emerging Market Focus
Regional
Business Briefings
China forecast to become Asia Pacific's largest auto
maker by 2010
China is poised to overtake Japan to become the Asia Pacific's
largest auto maker by 2010 with an annual output of 11 million
light vehicles. Japanese production is reducing largely because
production is being shifted to the Chinese market, according to
Benjamin Asher, a Beijing-based business manager with JD
Power-Automotive Resources Asia. Japan manufactured 10.8 million
light vehicles in 2006, but growth for 2007 is expected to
decline 1.7 percent to 10.6 million units and to 10 million by
2010. Conversely, China will continue to grow, despite an
anticipated slowdown from the 28.4 percent growth in 2006.
Chinese output for this year is expected to increase by 14.3
percent to 7.6 million units. India, South Korea and Thailand
are also significant manufacturers in the region and manufacture
over one million vehicles a year.
Hershey invests in India
Hershey Co. and Godrej Foods and Beverages have formed a joint
venture to make and distribute confectionery products, snacks
and beverages across India. Hershey will have a 51% stake and is
investing approximately US$ 60 million, which includes capital
to set up infrastructure. Hershey's products will be distributed
to 1.6 million outlets through Godrej's existing network.
Hershey CEO Richard Lenny said, "Over time we expect the
business outside to grow dramatically and one of the major
drivers of that growth is the long-term potential we see in the
Indian market." Godrej will spend US$ 5.8 million to build a
plant in the north Indian state of Himachal Pradesh where hard
candy will be made. In India, Hershey will face competition from
global confectionary giants including Nestle and market leader
Cadbury, who have a strong presence across the country. In
January this year, Hershey announced a similar joint venture in
China with Korean major Lotte Confectionery
Indonesia assures foreign investors on reforms
Indonesia's strong economic expansion and increased political
stability will allow the government to focus on reforms,
according to the Economic Minister, Mr Boediono.
He said an investment law passed by parliament recently included
equal treatment for domestic and foreign firms in some areas and
the right of foreign firms to seek redress through "binding"
arbitration in cases of disputes with government. The
authorities are formulating a variety of regulations to support
the law, including investment approval procedures and tax
reforms, he said. Moves are also underway to create a "national
single window" allowing importers and exporters to deal on line
with customs and all related government agencies cutting time
and transactions costs, he said. On reforms in the financial
area, he said the government intended to push forward with
improvements to the operations of capital markets, including a
more effective regulatory framework for insurance and pensions
FDI into Philippines increases 51 percent
Net foreign direct investment (FDI) into the Philippines rose 51
percent to US$ 357 million in January from a year ago, according
to the central bank. Foreign banks accounted for most of the
inflows as they opted to retain their earnings in local
branches. Net equity capital inflows rose nearly 70 percent in
January to US$ 70 million as the Philippines' improving
government finances, strong domestic demand and low inflation
attracted overseas investors, particularly from Japan and the
United States. The electronics sector, services industry and
real estate companies benefited from the inflows. The central
bank said it expected FDI flows to remain positive for the rest
of 2007, with investors taking advantage of the country's
improving investment climate.
Tesco plans expansion in Thailand
The Thai unit of Tesco, Britain's largest retailer, has announced plans to
spend US$ 217.4 million on expanding in Thailand this year. It
is expected to add about 60 convenience stores to the existing
260, according to Darmp Sukontasap, a senior executive of
Ek-Chai Distribution System, which operates Tesco-Lotus stores
in Thailand. Tesco Lotus, which runs 56 hypermarkets, competes
in the convenience store market with CP 7-Eleven, Thailand's
biggest chain with about 4,000 stores and plans to add 450 this
year. In the hypermarket sector, it competes with French-owned
Carrefour with 24 hypermarkets and Big C Supercenter, which has
49 and aims to add four new stores in 2007. The Thai government
is currently working on amendments to the retail law governing
the retail sector in the wake of demands by small shop owners
that the spread of superstores be controlled.
New Vietnam oil field estimated to hold large reserves
A new oilfield off Vietnam's southern coast is expected to hold
proven and probable reserves of approximately 4.98 million
tonnes of crude oil, according to a recent government report.
Appraisals at the Phuong Dong oilfield also showed condensate
reserves of around 0.73 million tonnes and 3.16 billion cubic
metres of natural gas. The government ordered JVPC, the operator
of the field, which is 46.5 percent owned by Nippon Oil Corp. of
Japan, to conduct further tests at the field to determine the
exact oil potential. Other owners of the fields are
ConocoPhillips' and Petrovietnam's exploration arm PVEP, which
hold 36 percent and 17.5 percent interest, respectively.
Vietnam sees increase in new FDI projects
Vietnam expects foreign direct investments to hit US$ 16 billion
this year. Vietnam has already licensed US$ 2.5 billion worth in
new projects in the first quarter, according to Phan Huu Thang,
Director of the Foreign Investment Agency. He said 20 further
projects worth more than US$ 20 billion were under review.
Investments in new projects would rise 17.6 percent from 2006 to
US$ 12 billion while disbursement would reach US$ 4 billion,
Thang said. Major projects awaiting licenses included industrial
zones, computer production, a horse racing track and sports
complex, two thermal power plants and a shipbuilding project.
Foreign direct investment has been a key source of foreign
exchange for Vietnam, helping it offset a rising trade deficit.
Foreigners have also invested US$ 4 billion in Vietnam's two
fast-expanding stock markets. They hold about 30 percent of the
total shares on the two exchanges, which have a combined market
capitalisation of US$ 22 billion.
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